Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 20:30 •
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.29)
1.04 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.6% | 23.3% | 22.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| LDU de Quito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente del Valle | 0 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 13% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Independiente del ValleWWWDLWWW
LDU de QuitoWLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 88% | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.41 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Independiente del Valle
vs
LDU de Quito
Expected goals
1.78
Independiente del Valle xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
2.82
1.04
LDU de Quito xG
League Avg: 1.00
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.6%
Draw
23.3%
Away
22.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
Tip
1 - 0
10.6%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 1.77 (league 1.30), LDU de Quito = 1.05 (league 0.99)
| LDU de Quito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente del Valle | 0 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 22.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1