Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade du 26 Mars
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.22)
0.50 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.2% | 26.1% | 12.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stade Malien Bamako | 0 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 23% | 69% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 17% | 55% | 80% | 25% | 56% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 27% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Stade Malien BamakoWWDWDWWDWLL
Mamelodi SundownsWWWDDLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 9% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stade Malien Bamako | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.90 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.72 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ 10Bet
No1.81 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Stade Malien Bamako
vs
Mamelodi Sundowns
Expected goals
1.48
Stade Malien Bamako xG
League Avg: 1.22
Total
1.98
0.50
Mamelodi Sundowns xG
League Avg: 0.72
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.2%
Draw
26.1%
Away
12.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.5%
Tip
2 - 0
15.1%
Tip
0 - 0
13.8%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Stade Malien Bamako = 1.48 (league 1.22), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.50 (league 0.72)
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stade Malien Bamako | 0 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 12.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1