Premier League — Kyrgyzstan
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Bars

—

Ozgon

Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.43) 1.79 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 23.2% 50.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ozgon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bars 0 5.2% 9.3% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Bars carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 149 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bars +34.6, Ozgon +37.2.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Bars Elo 1646 · +34.6
vs
Ozgon Elo 1531.6 · +37.2
Elo gapBars +149
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3177.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3177.6
Elo home share 70%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Bars Ozgon
Overall Elo16461531.6
Form Elo1676.81564.9
Home / Away Elo1558.61519.3
Attack Elo1671.51550.1
Defense Elo15681557.9
Last 5 Elo change+34.6+37.2

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bars last-5 Elo change: +34.6; Ozgon last-5 Elo change: +37.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarsOzgon
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack80%80%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bars Ozgon
HATHAT
Played055235
Wins—80%80%50%100%80%
Draws—20%20%50%0%20%
Loses—0%0%0%0%0%
BarsWWWDW
OzgonWWDWW

League goals

Metric Bars Ozgon
HATHAT
GF total012126612
GF avg0.02.42.43.02.02.4
GA total066224
GA avg0.01.21.21.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarsOzgon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%60%
1.580%20%100%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarsOzgon
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarsOzgon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBarsOzgon
Wins32
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-54-00-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0542
Goals Against0221

Model comparison

MetricBarsOzgon
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total55.0%45.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Bars vs Ozgon
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Bars
vs
Ozgon
Premier League • Kyrgyzstan • Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.17
Bars xG League Avg: 1.43
Total
2.96
1.79
Ozgon xG League Avg: 1.34
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.8%
Draw
23.2%
Away
50.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.9%
Tip
1 - 2
9.7%
Tip
0 - 1
9.3%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Bars #Ozgon #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Bars = 1.17 (league 1.43), Ozgon = 1.79 (league 1.34)

Ozgon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bars 0 5.2% 9.3% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 50.8%

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