Copa Do Brasil
— Brazil
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 22:15 •
MorumBIS
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sao Paulo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sao Paulo 0.0, Juventude +16.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sao Paulo
vs
Juventude
Elo gapSao Paulo +103
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3110
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3110
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1589.1 | 1520.9 |
| Form Elo | 1589.1 | 1553.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1551.2 | 1474 |
| Attack Elo | 1521.7 | 1479.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1614.5 | 1528.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | 0.0 | +16.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sao Paulo last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Juventude last-5 Elo change: +16.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
No predictions available for this fixture.
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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vtt 1 , vtd1