Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.62)
1.95 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 21.9% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Gheorgheni | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Bacău II | 0 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: FC Bacău II -16.3, Gheorgheni +54.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
FC Bacău II
vs
Gheorgheni
Elo gapGheorgheni +7
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2913.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2913.3
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1435.6 | 1477.7 |
| Form Elo | 1428.9 | 1489.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1479.5 | 1498.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1484.4 | 1578 |
| Defense Elo | 1416.4 | 1411.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.3 | +54.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. FC Bacău II last-5 Elo change: -16.3; Gheorgheni last-5 Elo change: +54.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 45% | 50% |
| Defense | 40% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 12% | 50% | 23% | 36% |
| Draws | 8% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 23% | 16% |
| Loses | 67% | 85% | 76% | 42% | 54% | 48% |
FC Bacău IILLLLWLLLLLLLLLWDDLLLLDLWL
GheorgheniLWLWLWLDLDWLLLLDLLLWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 25 | 41 | 66 | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 92% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 52% | 12% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 24% | 12% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Bacău II | Gheorgheni |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FC Bacău II
vs
Gheorgheni
Expected goals
1.53
FC Bacău II xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
3.48
1.95
Gheorgheni xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.9%
Draw
21.9%
Away
46.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.2%
Tip
1 - 2
9.0%
Tip
2 - 1
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FC Bacău II = 1.53 (league 1.62), Gheorgheni = 1.95 (league 1.29)
| Gheorgheni | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Bacău II | 0 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 46.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1