Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.27)
2.36 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1% | 19.6% | 50.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Vozdovac | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jedinstvo Ub | 0 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Jedinstvo Ub carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jedinstvo Ub +14.5, FK Vozdovac +6.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Jedinstvo Ub
vs
FK Vozdovac
Elo gapJedinstvo Ub +18
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3082.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3082.1
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1532.6 | 1549.5 |
| Form Elo | 1533.2 | 1547.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508 | 1525.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1560.4 | 1517.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1483.5 | 1599.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.5 | +6.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Jedinstvo Ub last-5 Elo change: +14.5; FK Vozdovac last-5 Elo change: +6.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 31% | 35% | 50% | 53% | 52% |
| Draws | 40% | 31% | 35% | 31% | 20% | 26% |
| Loses | 20% | 38% | 29% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
Jedinstvo UbDDWWDWDLDLDDLDDWWLWLWDLDWLWWLWL
FK VozdovacWDDWWWWLLWWLDDLWDWWWWWDDLDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 16 | 44 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 71% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 35% | 45% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 13% | 19% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jedinstvo Ub | FK Vozdovac |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jedinstvo Ub
vs
FK Vozdovac
Expected goals
1.65
Jedinstvo Ub xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
4.01
2.36
FK Vozdovac xG
League Avg: 0.95
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.1%
Draw
19.6%
Away
50.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.3%
Tip
1 - 1
7.1%
Tip
2 - 2
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jedinstvo Ub = 1.65 (league 1.27), FK Vozdovac = 2.36 (league 0.95)
| FK Vozdovac | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jedinstvo Ub | 0 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 50.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1