FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs TSC Backa Topola

Super Liga — Serbia

Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 18:00 • Gradski stadion

Not Started

home	draw	away
26.2%	24.8%	48.3%

		TSC Backa Topola
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	0	6.6%	10.6%	8.5%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.3%	11.8%	9.5%	5.1%	2.0%	0.7%
2	4.1%	6.5%	5.3%	2.8%	1.1%	0.4%
3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Away lean

TSC Backa Topola carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV -12.7, TSC Backa Topola -2.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Elo 1398 · -12.7

TSC Backa Topola Elo 1458.7 · -2.6

Elo gapTSC Backa Topola +26

Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%

Expected home share46%

Combined Elo2856.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2856.7

Elo home share 46%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Overall Elo	1398	1458.7
Form Elo	1380.3	1460.9
Home / Away Elo	1446	1462.7
Attack Elo	1450.3	1436.7
Defense Elo	1406.2	1475.2
Last 5 Elo change	-12.7	-2.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV last-5 Elo change: -12.7; TSC Backa Topola last-5 Elo change: -2.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Played	5	5
Form	20%	47%
Attack	46%	62%
Defense	31%	46%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV			TSC Backa Topola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	16	15	31
Wins	13%	13%	13%	31%	27%	29%
Draws	27%	31%	29%	38%	27%	32%
Loses	60%	56%	58%	31%	47%	39%

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVWLLDLDDLLWLWLDLDLLDLDLLDDLWLLLL

TSC Backa TopolaWDWLLLDWLWLLLDDDLWDWLDWDLDLDWLW

League goals

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV			TSC Backa Topola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	14	34	16	14	30
GF avg	1.3	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.9	1.0
GA total	33	23	56	17	19	36
GA avg	2.2	1.4	1.8	1.1	1.3	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV		TSC Backa Topola
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	90%	61%	71%
1.5	32%	58%	26%	32%
2.5	6%	26%	6%	10%
3.5	0%	3%	3%	3%
4.5	0%	3%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV			TSC Backa Topola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	6	3	9
Failed to score	2	7	9	6	6	12

Penalties

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	1

Streaks

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	1-3	4-1	1-3
Biggest losses	2-5	2-0	1-3	4-2
Goals For	3	3	4	3
Goals Against	5	3	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Form	30%	70%
Att	43%	57%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	39%	61%
H2h	7%	93%
Goals	22%	78%
Total	30.8%	69.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ Bet365

Draw3.60 @ Bet365

Away1.85 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet

No1.87 @ Betfair

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs TSC Backa Topola

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

TSC Backa Topola

Super Liga • Serbia • Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 18:00 • Gradski stadion

Expected goals

1.11

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV xG League Avg: 1.52

Total

2.72

1.61

TSC Backa Topola xG League Avg: 1.23

1x2 probabilities

Home

26.2%

Draw

24.8%

Away

48.3%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

11.8%

Tip

0 - 1

10.6%

Tip

1 - 2

9.5%

More chances

1.5+

77%

Chance

2.5+

54%

Chance

3.5+

39%

Chance

BTTS

72%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 5

Exp.

#FkSpartakZdrepcevaKrv #TscBackaTopola #SuperLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV = 1.11 (league 1.52), TSC Backa Topola = 1.61 (league 1.23)

		TSC Backa Topola
		0	1	2	3	4	5
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	0	6.6%	10.6%	8.5%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%
	1	7.3%	11.8%	9.5%	5.1%	2.0%	0.7%
	2	4.1%	6.5%	5.3%	2.8%	1.1%	0.4%
	3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 48.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	TSC Backa Topola
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	1

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs TSC Backa Topola