Iraqi League
— Iraq
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 16:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.24)
0.90 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.3% | 20.3% | 15.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Kahrabaa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zakho | 0 | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Zakho carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 180 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Zakho -10.9, Al Kahrabaa -9.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Zakho
vs
Al Kahrabaa
Elo gapZakho +180
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3030.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3030.4
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1587.9 | 1442.5 |
| Form Elo | 1580.3 | 1429.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.3 | 1465.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1515.6 | 1488.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1652.1 | 1483.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.9 | -9.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Zakho last-5 Elo change: -10.9; Al Kahrabaa last-5 Elo change: -9.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 21% | 64% |
| Defense | 50% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 46% | 44% | 21% | 29% | 25% |
| Draws | 43% | 15% | 30% | 14% | 7% | 11% |
| Loses | 14% | 38% | 26% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
ZakhoLWLWWDWDDLDWWDWDLWWWWDLLWDL
Al KahrabaaLLDLLDLLWLLLLLWDWWLWLLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 61% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 26% | 32% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 4% | 7% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zakho | Al Kahrabaa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Zakho
vs
Al Kahrabaa
Expected goals
2.06
Zakho xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.96
0.90
Al Kahrabaa xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.3%
Draw
20.3%
Away
15.5%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
11.0%
Tip
1 - 0
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Zakho = 2.04 (league 1.25), Al Kahrabaa = 0.90 (league 1.10)
| Al Kahrabaa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zakho | 0 | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 15.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1