Botola Pro
— Morocco
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Mohamed V
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.12)
0.10 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5% | 20.9% | 2.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
| FUS Rabat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Raja Casablanca | 0 | 17.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Raja Casablanca carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 93 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Raja Casablanca +3.6, FUS Rabat +26.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Raja Casablanca
vs
FUS Rabat
Elo gapRaja Casablanca +93
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3135.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3135.7
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1597 | 1538.7 |
| Form Elo | 1608.2 | 1541.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1545.3 | 1503.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1527.6 | 1570.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1653.5 | 1537.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.6 | +26.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Raja Casablanca last-5 Elo change: +3.6; FUS Rabat last-5 Elo change: +26.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 67% | 89% |
| Defense | 89% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 63% | 43% | 53% | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 38% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 7% | 29% | 63% | 47% |
Raja CasablancaWDWDWDWDWLDWDWW
FUS RabatLLDWWLLLLDDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | 67% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 20% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Raja Casablanca
vs
FUS Rabat
Expected goals
1.62
Raja Casablanca xG
League Avg: 1.12
Total
1.72
0.10
FUS Rabat xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
76.5%
Draw
20.9%
Away
2.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
29.0%
Tip
2 - 0
23.5%
Tip
0 - 0
17.9%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Raja Casablanca = 1.62 (league 1.12), FUS Rabat = 0.10 (league 1.11)
| FUS Rabat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Raja Casablanca | 0 | 17.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 2.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1