Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 22:00 •
Arena Fonte Nova
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31)
0.85 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 35.1% | 34.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| RB Bragantino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 20.0% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 60% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Bahia: WDWDW • RB Bragantino: WWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bahia | RB Bragantino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bahia | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bahia or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away5.84 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bahia
vs
RB Bragantino
Expected goals
0.76
Bahia xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
1.61
0.85
RB Bragantino xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.9%
Draw
35.1%
Away
34.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
20.0%
Tip
0 - 1
17.0%
Tip
1 - 0
15.2%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bahia = 0.76 (league 1.31), RB Bragantino = 0.85 (league 0.82)
| RB Bragantino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 20.0% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 34.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1