Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Monumental
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.00)
1.82 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.8% | 20.3% | 31.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| River Plate | 0 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 89% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 62% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 15% | 63% | 20% | 46% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 40% | 15% |
Form: River Plate: WWDLLLWDWWWWW • Boca Juniors: WLWLDDDWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 46% | 85% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 8% | 23% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : River Plate or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
River Plate
vs
Boca Juniors
Expected goals
2.21
River Plate xG
League Avg: 1.00
Total
4.02
1.82
Boca Juniors xG
League Avg: 0.77
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.8%
Draw
20.3%
Away
31.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.9%
Tip
2 - 2
7.2%
Tip
1 - 1
7.2%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): River Plate = 2.21 (league 1.00), Boca Juniors = 1.82 (league 0.77)
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| River Plate | 0 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 31.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1