Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 23:00 •
BMO Stadium
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.22)
0.53 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 40.3% | 23.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.2%
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| San Jose Earthquakes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Los Angeles FC | 0 | 28.2% | 14.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 71% | 75% | 100% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Los Angeles FC: WWWWDWL • San Jose Earthquakes: WWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | 86% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 43% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.6% | 39.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Los Angeles FC or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.30 @ Unibet
Away5.20 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Los Angeles FC = 0.74 (league 1.22), San Jose Earthquakes = 0.53 (league 0.97)
| San Jose Earthquakes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Los Angeles FC | 0 | 28.2% | 14.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 23.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
