Sun, Apr 19 2026 ā¢ 19:00 ā¢
UD AlmerĆa Stadium
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.49)
1.51 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 20.5% | 26.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Malaga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almeria | 0 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 65% | 53% |
| Defense | 41% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 71% | 33% | 51% | 61% | 35% | 49% |
| Draws | 12% | 28% | 20% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 39% | 29% | 6% | 47% | 26% |
Form: Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWWWWLDWLLWDLLWWWWDWLWWLWL ā¢ Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWWWWWLWLWWDWWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 24 | 67 | 37 | 21 | 58 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 24 | 28 | 52 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almeria | Malaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 80% | 83% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 46% | 46% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 14% | 29% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 10 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 10 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almeria | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Malaga
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.87 @ 1xBet
Away3.95 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Betfair
No2.39 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Almeria
vs
Malaga
Expected goals
2.18
Almeria xG
League Avg: 1.49
Total
3.69
1.51
Malaga xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.6%
Draw
20.5%
Away
26.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.0%
Tip
1 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
šØ Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Almeria = 2.18 (league 1.49), Malaga = 1.51 (league 1.11)
| Malaga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almeria | 0 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% Ā· Draw 20.5% Ā· Away win 26.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1