Primeira Liga — Portugal
Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 19:30 • Estádio Do Dragão
Not Started

FC Porto

—

Tondela

Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.44) 0.26 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.4% 7.1% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.3% 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.2% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoTondela
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack80%27%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Tondela
HATHAT
Played141529151328
Wins79%87%83%7%23%14%
Draws21%7%14%47%15%32%
Loses0%7%3%47%62%54%

Form: FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWWDWWDW • Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLLDDDWDLDLD

League goals

Metric FC Porto Tondela
HATHAT
GF total293059111021
GF avg2.12.02.00.70.80.8
GA total6814192746
GA avg0.40.50.51.32.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.597%38%43%82%
1.566%10%29%50%
2.534%0%4%25%
3.57%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets9918325
Failed to score1019716

Penalties

MetricFC PortoTondela
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricFC PortoTondela
Wins111
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-2
Biggest losses—2-10-35-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoTondela
Form79%21%
Att75%25%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%12%
Total79.2%21.0%

Advice: Winner : FC Porto

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Betano
Draw7.50 @ Betfair
Away23.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.10 @ Betfair
No1.49 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • FC Porto vs Tondela
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

FC Porto
vs
Tondela
Primeira Liga • Portugal • Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 19:30 • Estádio Do Dragão
Expected goals
3.06
FC Porto xG League Avg: 1.44
Total
3.32
0.26
Tondela xG League Avg: 1.23
1x2 probabilities
Home
82.4%
Draw
7.1%
Away
1.5%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
17.3%
Tip
2 - 0
17.0%
Tip
4 - 0
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#FcPorto #Tondela #PrimeiraLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 3.05 (league 1.45), Tondela = 0.26 (league 1.24)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.3% 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.2% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.4% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 1.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1