Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 15:00 •
Raiffeisen Arena
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.44)
2.10 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 20.9% | 53.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sturm Graz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lask Linz | 0 | 3.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 11% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 62% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 69% | 54% |
| Draws | 15% | 23% | 19% | 23% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 23% | 38% | 31% | 38% | 23% | 31% |
Form: Lask Linz: LLWLLLWLDWWWWWWDWWDLDWDLWW • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLWLWDWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 69% | 88% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 42% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 23% | 15% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lask Linz | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.21 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lask Linz = 1.29 (league 1.45), Sturm Graz = 2.10 (league 1.26)
| Sturm Graz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lask Linz | 0 | 3.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 54.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
