Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 15:30 •
Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.63)
1.03 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Jagiellonia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arka Gdynia | 0 | 12.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 7% | 32% | 50% | 29% | 39% |
| Draws | 36% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 50% | 36% |
| Loses | 7% | 79% | 43% | 29% | 21% | 25% |
Form: Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLWLWLWLLWDLWDLWDLWD • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDDDLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 32 | 47 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 79% | 79% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 43% | 43% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 25% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 18% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 7% | 93% |
| Total | 46.4% | 53.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Arka Gdynia or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ 10Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arka Gdynia
vs
Jagiellonia
Expected goals
1.08
Arka Gdynia xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.11
1.03
Jagiellonia xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.3%
Draw
29.9%
Away
33.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.5%
Tip
1 - 0
13.1%
Tip
0 - 1
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arka Gdynia = 1.08 (league 1.63), Jagiellonia = 1.03 (league 1.18)
| Jagiellonia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arka Gdynia | 0 | 12.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 33.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1