Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 11:30 •
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.48)
1.23 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 29.1% | 43.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Alanyaspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kasımpaşa | 0 | 11.7% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 64% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 21% | 20% | 21% | 33% | 7% | 21% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 34% | 33% | 71% | 52% |
| Loses | 43% | 47% | 45% | 33% | 21% | 28% |
Form: Kasımpaşa: LLLWDDWDLDLLWLDDLDLLLWDLDWLWD • Alanyaspor: DLWWDDLDWLDDLDDDWLDLDWLLDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 23 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 76% | 76% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 45% | 34% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 3% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kasımpaşa | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Kasımpaşa or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kasımpaşa = 0.91 (league 1.48), Alanyaspor = 1.23 (league 1.27)
| Alanyaspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kasımpaşa | 0 | 11.7% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 43.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
