Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia

Ekstraklasa — Poland

Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 15:30 • Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

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Arka Gdynia

—

Jagiellonia

Expected Goals

1.08 (league 1.63) 1.03 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
36.3%	29.9%	33.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.5%

1 - 0

13.1%

0 - 1

12.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Jagiellonia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Arka Gdynia	0	12.2%	12.5%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.2%	13.5%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	7.1%	7.3%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	2.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Arka Gdynia	Jagiellonia
Played	5	5
Form	53%	33%
Attack	62%	38%
Defense	54%	54%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Arka Gdynia			Jagiellonia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	57%	7%	32%	50%	29%	39%
Draws	36%	14%	25%	21%	50%	36%
Loses	7%	79%	43%	29%	21%	25%

Form: Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLWLWLWLLWDLWDLWDLWD • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDDDLLWLDD

League goals

Metric	Arka Gdynia			Jagiellonia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	8	30	29	15	44
GF avg	1.6	0.6	1.1	2.1	1.1	1.6
GA total	15	32	47	20	15	35
GA avg	1.1	2.3	1.7	1.4	1.1	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Arka Gdynia		Jagiellonia
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	61%	79%	79%	75%
1.5	36%	43%	43%	39%
2.5	11%	25%	21%	7%
3.5	0%	18%	11%	4%
4.5	0%	4%	4%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Arka Gdynia			Jagiellonia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	2	6	3	4	7
Failed to score	2	9	11	2	4	6

Penalties

Metric	Arka Gdynia	Jagiellonia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	4

Streaks

Metric	Arka Gdynia	Jagiellonia
Wins	1	4
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-3	4-0	1-3
Biggest losses	1-4	5-1	0-4	3-0
Goals For	3	3	5	3
Goals Against	4	5	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Arka Gdynia	Jagiellonia
Form	62%	38%
Att	62%	38%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	51%	49%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	7%	93%
Total	46.4%	53.6%

Advice: Double chance : Arka Gdynia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet

Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle

Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO

Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 10Bet

No2.10 @ Betfair

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Arka Gdynia

Jagiellonia

Ekstraklasa • Poland • Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 15:30 • Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Expected goals

1.08

Arka Gdynia xG League Avg: 1.63

Total

2.11

1.03

Jagiellonia xG League Avg: 1.18

1x2 probabilities

Home

36.3%

Draw

29.9%

Away

33.7%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

13.5%

Tip

1 - 0

13.1%

Tip

0 - 1

12.5%

More chances

1.5+

76%

Chance

2.5+

53%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

70%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#ArkaGdynia #Jagiellonia #Ekstraklasa #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Arka Gdynia = 1.08 (league 1.63), Jagiellonia = 1.03 (league 1.18)

		Jagiellonia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Arka Gdynia	0	12.2%	12.5%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.2%	13.5%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	2	7.1%	7.3%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	2.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Arka Gdynia	Jagiellonia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	4