Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 19:30 •
Estádio Do Dragão
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.45)
0.26 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tondela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Porto | 0 | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 80% | 27% |
| Defense | 60% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 79% | 87% | 83% | 7% | 23% | 14% |
| Draws | 21% | 7% | 14% | 47% | 15% | 32% |
| Loses | 0% | 7% | 3% | 47% | 62% | 54% |
Form: FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWWDWWDW • Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLLDDDWDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 30 | 59 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 27 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Porto | Tondela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 97% | 38% | 43% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 10% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 0% | 4% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Porto | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 88% | 12% |
| Total | 79.2% | 21.0% |
Advice: Winner : FC Porto
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.20 @ Betano
Draw7.50 @ Betfair
Away23.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.10 @ Betfair
No1.49 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FC Porto
vs
Tondela
Expected goals
3.05
FC Porto xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
3.31
0.26
Tondela xG
League Avg: 1.24
1x2 probabilities
Home
82.4%
Draw
7.2%
Away
1.5%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
17.3%
Tip
2 - 0
17.0%
Tip
4 - 0
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 3.05 (league 1.45), Tondela = 0.26 (league 1.24)
| Tondela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Porto | 0 | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.4% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 1.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1