Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 21:30 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.31)
0.97 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Paranaense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 58% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 73% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
Form: Palmeiras: DWWWLWWWWWD • Atletico Paranaense: WWLDLWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 55% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ Betano
No1.87 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Palmeiras
vs
Atletico Paranaense
Expected goals
3.29
Palmeiras xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
4.26
0.97
Atletico Paranaense xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.0%
Draw
11.1%
Away
7.3%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
8.4%
Tip
3 - 1
8.1%
Tip
2 - 0
7.6%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 3.29 (league 1.31), Atletico Paranaense = 0.97 (league 0.82)
| Atletico Paranaense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 7.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1