Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 23:30 •
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.00)
0.52 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.7% | 24.8% | 12.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
15.2%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sarmiento Junin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rosario Central | 0 | 12.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 43% | 46% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Draws | 17% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 33% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 83% | 54% |
Form: Rosario Central: LWDDWLWWDWLWL • Sarmiento Junin: LWLWLLLWDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 62% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 23% | 23% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rosario Central | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Rosario Central or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away9.25 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rosario Central = 1.57 (league 1.00), Sarmiento Junin = 0.52 (league 0.77)
| Sarmiento Junin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rosario Central | 0 | 12.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 12.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
