Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 19:00 •
Amex Stadium
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.52)
1.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 24.4% | 44.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brighton | 0 | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 44% | 29% | 36% | 35% | 44% | 39% |
| Draws | 38% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 19% | 41% | 30% | 35% | 31% | 33% |
Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDWDDLDLLWWLWWWD • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDDLWWWWDDLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 21 | 45 | 23 | 30 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brighton | Chelsea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 76% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 30% | 48% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 6% | 21% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brighton | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away2.72 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.30 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Brighton
vs
Chelsea
Expected goals
1.28
Brighton xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
2.90
1.62
Chelsea xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away
44.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
0 - 1
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 1.28 (league 1.52), Chelsea = 1.62 (league 1.29)
| Chelsea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brighton | 0 | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 44.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1