Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportpark Cromwijck
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.76)
1.08 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 23.0% | 22.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| ADO '20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 42% | 48% | 67% | 36% | 52% |
| Draws | 18% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
Form: Sportlust '46: WWWWLWDWWLWLLDLLDWWDLWD • ADO '20: WDWLLWDWWLWWWLWDWDDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 16 | 38 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 8 | 18 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 70% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 39% | 39% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportlust '46 | ADO '20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sportlust '46 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sportlust '46 = 1.80 (league 1.78), ADO '20 = 1.09 (league 1.55)
| ADO '20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportlust '46 | 0 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 22.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
