Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.25)
0.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.6% | 22.0% | 17.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Roma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter | 0 | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 73% | 73% | 73% | 67% | 47% | 57% |
| Draws | 13% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
| Loses | 13% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 47% | 33% |
Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWLDD • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 27 | 66 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter | AS Roma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 50% | 77% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 20% | 43% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 7% | 13% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Inter or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.15 @ Marathonbet
Away6.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Inter = 1.88 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 0.88 (league 1.13)
| AS Roma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter | 0 | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 16.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
