Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Expected Goals
3.60 (league 1.25)
0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.6%
4 - 0
8.6%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Cagliari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter | 0 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 73% | 27% |
| Defense | 47% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 31% | 19% | 25% |
| Draws | 13% | 6% | 9% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
| Loses | 13% | 19% | 16% | 44% | 50% | 47% |
Form: Inter: WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWLDDWW • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWWLLDDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 44 | 31 | 75 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inter | Cagliari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 53% | 66% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 25% | 28% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 9% | 6% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inter | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Advice: Winner : Inter
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.27 @ 1xBet
Draw7.00 @ Unibet
Away14.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.52 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Inter = 3.60 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 0.80 (league 1.13)
| Cagliari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inter | 0 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 4.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
