Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 12:30 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.51) 2.49 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 17.8% 61.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 2.5% 6.2% 7.7% 6.4% 4.0% 2.0%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack36%100%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.817 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Manchester City
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%89%50%71%
Draws13%22%18%0%13%6%
Loses50%56%53%11%38%24%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWL • Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total11617251641
GF avg1.40.71.02.82.02.4
GA total13132661016
GA avg1.61.41.50.71.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%82%88%53%
1.529%47%65%29%
2.524%24%59%6%
3.50%0%18%6%
4.50%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets123538
Failed to score459112

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Wins23
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-10-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-22-1
Goals For3355
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Form29%71%
Att19%81%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h20%80%
Goals10%90%
Total26.2%73.8%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.46 @ 1xBet
Away1.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.44 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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Prediction and Tips for:

Nottingham Forest
vs
Manchester City
Premier League • England • Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 12:30 • City Ground
Expected goals
1.20
Nottingham Forest xG League Avg: 1.51
Total
3.69
2.49
Manchester City xG League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.6%
Draw
17.8%
Away
61.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.3%
Tip
0 - 2
7.7%
Tip
1 - 3
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#NottinghamForest #ManchesterCity #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.21 (league 1.51), Manchester City = 2.49 (league 1.28)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 2.5% 6.2% 7.7% 6.4% 4.0% 2.0%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 61.3%

vtt 78 , vtd1