Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 19:00 • Stadium of Light
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.51) 0.77 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 27.6% 20.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandNottingham Forest
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack42%58%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins50%25%38%19%31%25%
Draws31%31%31%38%19%28%
Loses19%44%31%44%50%47%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDDLWLWLLLDWLWW • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDLLDDWD

League goals

Metric Sunderland Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total231033141832
GF avg1.40.61.00.91.11.0
GA total142236202444
GA avg0.91.41.11.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%69%56%75%
1.528%28%28%44%
2.59%16%16%19%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410448
Failed to score38119514

Penalties

MetricSunderlandNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSunderlandNottingham Forest
Wins22
Draws42
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-33-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandNottingham Forest
Form63%38%
Att42%58%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total59.3%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sunderland or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.43 @ 1xBet
Away2.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ 10Bet
📊

League standings

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Prediction and Tips for:

Sunderland
vs
Nottingham Forest
Premier League • England • Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 19:00 • Stadium of Light
Expected goals
1.39
Sunderland xG League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.16
0.77
Nottingham Forest xG League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.3%
Draw
27.6%
Away
20.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
0 - 0
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#Sunderland #NottinghamForest #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 1.39 (league 1.51), Nottingham Forest = 0.77 (league 1.28)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1