Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadium of Light
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.51)
0.77 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | 27.6% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Nottingham Forest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland | 0 | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 58% |
| Defense | 75% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 19% | 31% | 25% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 28% |
| Loses | 19% | 44% | 31% | 44% | 50% | 47% |
Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDDLWLWLLLDWLWW • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDLLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 10 | 33 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 22 | 36 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 69% | 56% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 16% | 16% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sunderland | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 59.3% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Sunderland or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.43 @ 1xBet
Away2.60 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 1.39 (league 1.51), Nottingham Forest = 0.77 (league 1.28)
| Nottingham Forest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sunderland | 0 | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 20.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1
