Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.67) 0.85 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 30.1% 26.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.2% 11.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.1% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack42%67%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins38%11%24%25%25%25%
Draws50%33%41%38%25%31%
Loses13%56%35%38%50%44%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDL • Piast Gliwice: LLDDDDLWLLLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
GF total1181981018
GF avg1.40.91.11.01.31.1
GA total6142081119
GA avg0.81.61.21.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%56%75%
1.524%35%31%44%
2.512%12%19%0%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score325437

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
Wins12
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-21-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-22-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaPiast Gliwice
Form23%77%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Piast Gliwice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.17 (league 1.67), Piast Gliwice = 0.85 (league 1.22)

Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.2% 11.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.1% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1