Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:30 •
Chorten Arena
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.63)
1.07 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 23.1% | 22.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gornik Zabrze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jagiellonia | 0 | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 38% | 62% |
| Defense | 54% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 29% | 39% | 67% | 21% | 45% |
| Draws | 21% | 50% | 36% | 7% | 43% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDDDLLWLDD • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWLDLLDWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 15 | 44 | 28 | 13 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 15 | 35 | 13 | 20 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 75% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 39% | 38% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 7% | 24% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ 10Bet
No2.15 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jagiellonia
vs
Gornik Zabrze
Expected goals
1.80
Jagiellonia xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.87
1.07
Gornik Zabrze xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
53.4%
Draw
23.1%
Away
22.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.9%
Tip
1 - 0
10.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
80%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 1.80 (league 1.63), Gornik Zabrze = 1.07 (league 1.18)
| Gornik Zabrze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jagiellonia | 0 | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 22.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1