Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:15 •
MAC³PARK Stadion
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.73)
2.18 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | 20.5% | 51.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle | 0 | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 8% | 29% | 62% | 27% | 46% |
| Draws | 9% | 38% | 25% | 23% | 64% | 42% |
| Loses | 36% | 54% | 46% | 15% | 9% | 13% |
Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLDWLWLLD • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 35 | 50 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PEC Zwolle | Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 83% | 96% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 63% | 71% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 21% | 25% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 17% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.35 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.59 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
PEC Zwolle
vs
Ajax
Expected goals
1.46
PEC Zwolle xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
3.63
2.18
Ajax xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
25.1%
Draw
20.5%
Away
51.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.1%
Tip
1 - 1
8.4%
Tip
2 - 2
6.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
83%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 1.46 (league 1.73), Ajax = 2.18 (league 1.35)
| Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle | 0 | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 51.6%
vtt 19 , vtd1