Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.74) 2.01 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 21.4% 56.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 4.4% 8.8% 8.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZDordrecht
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack100%77%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Dordrecht
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins17%46%32%33%38%36%
Draws0%15%8%25%31%28%
Loses83%38%60%42%31%36%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLW • Dordrecht: WWLWDDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Dordrecht
HATHAT
GF total162743181735
GF avg1.32.11.71.51.31.4
GA total262551161935
GA avg2.21.92.01.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZDordrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%80%76%
1.552%56%40%44%
2.536%36%20%16%
3.512%24%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZDordrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score527145

Penalties

MetricJong AZDordrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJong AZDordrecht
Wins22
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-44-13-43-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricJong AZDordrecht
Form38%63%
Att57%43%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total52.7%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dordrecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ 188Bet
No2.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.12 (league 1.74), Dordrecht = 2.01 (league 1.43)

Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 4.4% 8.8% 8.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 56.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1