Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 •
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.76)
2.15 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 20.7% | 47.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Den Bosch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong AZ | 0 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 88% | 38% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 31% | 41% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 7% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 85% | 36% | 59% | 29% | 62% | 44% |
Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLW • Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWLWLLWLLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 30 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 28 | 25 | 53 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong AZ | Den Bosch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 56% | 52% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 33% | 19% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong AZ | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.99 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.15 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jong AZ
vs
Den Bosch
Expected goals
1.62
Jong AZ xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
3.77
2.15
Den Bosch xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
28.6%
Draw
20.7%
Away
47.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.6%
Tip
1 - 1
8.0%
Tip
2 - 2
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.62 (league 1.76), Den Bosch = 2.15 (league 1.43)
| Den Bosch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong AZ | 0 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 47.9%
vtt 5 , vtd1