Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 •
Yanmar Stadion
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.76)
1.43 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 23.2% | 31.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Waalwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almere City FC | 0 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 44% | 48% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
| Draws | 13% | 6% | 10% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLWW • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLWDWDWLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 31 | 64 | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 33 | 51 | 24 | 21 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 77% | 90% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 55% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 23% | 16% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 6% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-2 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Waalwijk
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ William Hill
Away3.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.98 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Almere City FC
vs
Waalwijk
Expected goals
1.75
Almere City FC xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
3.17
1.43
Waalwijk xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.3%
Draw
23.2%
Away
31.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
Tip
2 - 1
9.1%
Tip
1 - 2
7.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
67%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 1.75 (league 1.76), Waalwijk = 1.43 (league 1.43)
| Waalwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almere City FC | 0 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 31.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1