Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 •
Sportpark De Toekomst
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.76)
2.13 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.2% | 20.2% | 39.7% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong Ajax | 0 | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 91% | 100% |
| Defense | 55% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 31% | 19% | 25% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 31% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 6% | 13% |
| Loses | 38% | 63% | 50% | 31% | 50% | 41% |
Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWLWW • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 18 | 45 | 35 | 31 | 66 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 26 | 31 | 57 | 20 | 33 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 81% | 88% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 25% | 34% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 19% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.20 @ BetVictor
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jong Ajax
vs
Almere City FC
Expected goals
2.02
Jong Ajax xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
4.15
2.13
Almere City FC xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.2%
Draw
20.2%
Away
39.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 2
7.3%
Tip
1 - 2
7.2%
Tip
2 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 2.02 (league 1.76), Almere City FC = 2.13 (league 1.43)
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong Ajax | 0 | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 39.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1