Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:00 •
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.76)
2.01 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.3% | 21.3% | 43.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitesse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong Utrecht | 0 | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 87% |
| Defense | 60% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 41% | 18% | 29% | 39% | 41% | 40% |
| Draws | 29% | 24% | 26% | 28% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 29% | 59% | 44% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWWLWLWDDDDLLLLWLWL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDLWWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 18 | 52 | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 30 | 28 | 58 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | 54% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 26% | 20% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 6% | 11% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 1-4 | 6-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong Utrecht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 36.2% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 1.70 (league 1.76), Vitesse = 2.01 (league 1.43)
| Vitesse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong Utrecht | 0 | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 43.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
