Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:45 •
The Hawthorns
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.35)
1.97 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.3% | 21.8% | 47.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Southampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Brom | 0 | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 21% | 100% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 19 | 36 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| Wins | 35% | 16% | 25% | 47% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 35% | 16% | 25% | 35% | 28% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 68% | 50% | 18% | 39% | 29% |
Form: West Brom: WWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWLLWLLWLLLLDLDDLDLD • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 22 | 31 | 53 | 14 | 32 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | West Brom | Southampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 81% | 86% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 42% | 40% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 19% | 23% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | West Brom | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.17 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
West Brom
vs
Southampton
Expected goals
1.46
West Brom xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
3.43
1.97
Southampton xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
28.3%
Draw
21.8%
Away
47.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.3%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
2 - 1
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): West Brom = 1.46 (league 1.36), Southampton = 1.94 (league 1.14)
| Southampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Brom | 0 | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 47.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1