Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:00 •
Roazhon Park
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.63)
1.06 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.9% | 28.4% | 31.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.5%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulouse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rennes | 0 | 10.1% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 47% | 27% |
| Defense | 33% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Draws | 27% | 33% | 30% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 18% | 33% | 26% | 25% | 45% | 35% |
Form: Rennes: WLDWDDDDLDWWWWLWWDLLLWW • Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDWWLWWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rennes | Toulouse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 74% | 70% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 43% | 43% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 17% | 17% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 13% | 9% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 3-6 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rennes | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Toulouse
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Rennes
vs
Toulouse
Expected goals
1.23
Rennes xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.28
1.06
Toulouse xG
League Avg: 1.25
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.9%
Draw
28.4%
Away
31.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.2%
Tip
1 - 0
12.5%
Tip
0 - 1
10.8%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Rennes = 1.23 (league 1.63), Toulouse = 1.06 (league 1.25)
| Toulouse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rennes | 0 | 10.1% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 14 , vtd1