Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Parc des Princes
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.63)
0.33 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.5% | 14.6% | 4.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
17.2%
3 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 18% |
| Defense | 64% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 85% | 64% | 74% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Draws | 8% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 36% | 25% |
| Loses | 8% | 21% | 15% | 71% | 50% | 61% |
Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWWWWWLWWLWW • Nantes: LLWLDDDLWLLDDLLLWLLLLLWLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 27 | 61 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 48% | 57% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 22% | 25% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 15% | 4% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 78.2% | 21.8% |
Advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw7.80 @ Dafabet
Away15.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Paris Saint Germain
vs
Nantes
Expected goals
2.23
Paris Saint Germain xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.56
0.33
Nantes xG
League Avg: 1.25
1x2 probabilities
Home
78.5%
Draw
14.6%
Away
4.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
19.1%
Tip
1 - 0
17.2%
Tip
3 - 0
14.2%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.23 (league 1.63), Nantes = 0.33 (league 1.25)
| Nantes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 4.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1