Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:00 • Parc des Princes
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.63) 0.38 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 11.9% 3.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.3%
3 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis Saint GermainNantes
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%30%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris Saint Germain Nantes
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins83%62%72%15%17%16%
Draws8%15%12%15%25%20%
Loses8%23%16%69%58%64%

Form: Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWWLWWWWWWWLWWL • Nantes: LLWLDDDLWLLDDLLLWLLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Paris Saint Germain Nantes
HATHAT
GF total312354121022
GF avg2.61.82.20.90.80.9
GA total71522231942
GA avg0.61.20.91.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis Saint GermainNantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%48%60%84%
1.556%24%24%48%
2.540%16%4%20%
3.512%0%0%12%
4.512%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis Saint GermainNantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets9413224
Failed to score0225510

Penalties

MetricParis Saint GermainNantes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricParis Saint GermainNantes
Wins71
Draws23
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-62-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-44-1
Goals For5632
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricParis Saint GermainNantes
Form75%25%
Att79%21%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total74.2%25.8%

Advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw6.55 @ Marathonbet
Away13.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris Saint Germain = 2.55 (league 1.63), Nantes = 0.38 (league 1.25)

Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris Saint Germain 0 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 3.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1