Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:45 •
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.63)
0.51 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0% | 24.7% | 11.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Lorient | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon | 0 | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 69% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 32% |
| Draws | 8% | 33% | 21% | 43% | 36% | 39% |
| Loses | 23% | 33% | 29% | 7% | 50% | 29% |
Form: Lyon: WWWLWWLLWDDLDWLWWWWWWWLLDDLD • Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWWWLWDDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lyon | Lorient | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 50% | 71% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 32% | 39% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 21% | 21% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-7 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lyon | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorient
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ 1xBet
Draw4.26 @ 1xBet
Away5.60 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ 10Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lyon
vs
Lorient
Expected goals
1.57
Lyon xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.08
0.51
Lorient xG
League Avg: 1.25
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.0%
Draw
24.7%
Away
11.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
19.6%
Tip
2 - 0
15.4%
Tip
0 - 0
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
73%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 1.57 (league 1.63), Lorient = 0.51 (league 1.25)
| Lorient | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon | 0 | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 11.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1