Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:30 •
Mewa Arena
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.62)
3.21 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | 9.0% | 76.5% |
best score tips
0 - 3
12.3%
0 - 2
11.5%
0 - 4
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| 1899 Hoffenheim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 2.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 80% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 29% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 10% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 80% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDL • 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWLDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 90% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 50% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.63 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FSV Mainz 05
vs
1899 Hoffenheim
Expected goals
0.59
FSV Mainz 05 xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
3.80
3.21
1899 Hoffenheim xG
League Avg: 1.46
1x2 probabilities
Home
3.9%
Draw
9.0%
Away
76.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 3
12.3%
Tip
0 - 2
11.5%
Tip
0 - 4
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
92%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 0.59 (league 1.62), 1899 Hoffenheim = 3.21 (league 1.46)
| 1899 Hoffenheim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 2.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 76.5%
vtt 79 , vtd1