Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 17:30 •
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.58)
1.94 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 21.5% | 60.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.9%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| 1. FC Magdeburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0 | 5.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 50% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 22% | 27% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 33% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 44% | 64% | 55% | 70% | 50% | 60% |
Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLDW • 1. FC Magdeburg: LWLLLLLLDWLLLWWDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 28 | 47 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 90% | 60% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 75% | 40% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.30 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away1.98 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.36 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 0.91 (league 1.58), 1. FC Magdeburg = 1.94 (league 1.30)
| 1. FC Magdeburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0 | 5.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 60.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
