Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 17:30 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.57) 1.92 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 21.7% 59.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Magdeburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 5.9% 11.3% 10.8% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack38%69%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1. FC Magdeburg
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins22%27%25%20%40%30%
Draws33%9%20%10%10%10%
Loses44%64%55%70%50%60%

Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLDW • 1. FC Magdeburg: LWLLLLLLDWLLLWWDWWLL

League goals

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1. FC Magdeburg
HATHAT
GF total101828141226
GF avg1.11.61.41.41.21.3
GA total192847201333
GA avg2.12.52.42.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%90%60%75%
1.545%75%40%55%
2.520%40%25%20%
3.55%20%5%10%
4.55%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score437448

Penalties

MetricSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
Wins12
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-46-00-43-1
Goals For3543
Goals Against4653

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
Form42%58%
Att35%65%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h64%36%
Goals53%47%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or 1. FC Magdeburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.30 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away1.98 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.36 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 0.91 (league 1.57), 1. FC Magdeburg = 1.92 (league 1.31)

1. FC Magdeburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 5.9% 11.3% 10.8% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 59.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1