Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 17:30 •
BBBank Wildpark
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.57)
2.06 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 17.7% | 26.7% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 35% |
| Defense | 35% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 50% | 21% | 35% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 38% | 62% | 50% |
Form: Karlsruher SC: WDWDWLWDLWWLLLLLDWDLDLWWDL • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLDWLLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 21 | 29 | 50 | 26 | 30 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 81% | 69% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 54% | 50% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 42% | 19% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 8% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Karlsruher SC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Karlsruher SC or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.23 @ 188Bet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.68 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Karlsruher SC = 2.77 (league 1.58), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 2.07 (league 1.31)
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 27.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
