Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:15 •
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.49)
1.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 29.2% | 46.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Burgos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albacete | 0 | 12.7% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 73% | 73% |
| Defense | 73% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 38% | 29% | 33% | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Draws | 25% | 41% | 33% | 35% | 19% | 27% |
| Loses | 38% | 29% | 33% | 18% | 38% | 27% |
Form: Albacete: DLLLDWWDDWLWLWLLWLDLDWWWLDLDDWWDD • Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWDWLLLWDLWWLWDDLWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Albacete | Burgos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 61% | 64% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 36% | 30% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 24% | 12% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Albacete or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Albacete = 0.80 (league 1.49), Burgos = 1.26 (league 1.11)
| Burgos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albacete | 0 | 12.7% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 46.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
