Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 16:30 •
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.62)
3.10 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 16.2% | 35.0% |
best score tips
2 - 3
5.1%
3 - 3
5.0%
2 - 2
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| UMM Salal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 0% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 27% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 20 | 4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 100% | 80% |
Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLWLWLW • UMM Salal: LWLLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 90% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 70% | 70% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 10% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 2-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 3-8 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | UMM Salal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ahli Doha or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ 188Bet
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away4.21 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Al Ahli Doha
vs
UMM Salal
Expected goals
2.96
Al Ahli Doha xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
6.06
3.10
UMM Salal xG
League Avg: 1.63
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.1%
Draw
16.2%
Away
35.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 3
5.1%
Tip
3 - 3
5.0%
Tip
2 - 2
4.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
63%
Chance
BTTS
86%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 2.96 (league 1.62), UMM Salal = 3.10 (league 1.63)
| UMM Salal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 35.0%
vtt 14 , vtd1