Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Lydstep Park
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.73)
1.39 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 21.8% | 26.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Carmarthen Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff Draconians | 0 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 52% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 14 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 29% | 43% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 9% | 54% | 33% | 44% |
| Loses | 33% | 57% | 48% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
Form: Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDWWWDWLWLWLLWLWLLL • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDDWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 22 | 32 | 10 | 21 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 72% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 39% | 28% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 17% | 16% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 16% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cardiff Draconians | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.36 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Cardiff Draconians
vs
Carmarthen Town
Expected goals
1.97
Cardiff Draconians xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
3.36
1.39
Carmarthen Town xG
League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.6%
Draw
21.8%
Away
26.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.5%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
1 - 0
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Cardiff Draconians = 1.97 (league 1.73), Carmarthen Town = 1.39 (league 1.51)
| Carmarthen Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff Draconians | 0 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 26.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1