1. Lig — Turkey
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 10:30 • Mersin Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.64) 1.37 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 27.8% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.4%
0 - 0
16.4%
0 - 2
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sivasspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 16.4% 22.4% 15.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.2% 9.9% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHataysporSivasspor
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack15%45%
Defense25%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hatayspor Sivasspor
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins0%0%0%40%14%28%
Draws29%20%24%47%36%41%
Loses71%80%76%13%50%31%

Form: Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLL • Sivasspor: LDLLWDWDDDDLWLWLDDWLWDDLDDWWL

League goals

Metric Hatayspor Sivasspor
HATHAT
GF total91221231033
GF avg0.60.80.71.50.71.1
GA total354580131730
GA avg2.53.02.80.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHataysporSivasspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%100%66%66%
1.514%79%24%28%
2.53%59%14%7%
3.50%28%7%3%
4.50%10%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHataysporSivasspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets0006410
Failed to score76134610

Penalties

MetricHataysporSivasspor
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricHataysporSivasspor
Wins02
Draws24
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-01-2
Biggest losses0-55-00-24-2
Goals For2352
Goals Against5534

Model comparison

MetricHataysporSivasspor
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total35.8%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sivasspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ 10Bet
Draw7.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hatayspor = 0.44 (league 1.64), Sivasspor = 1.37 (league 1.28)

Sivasspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 16.4% 22.4% 15.3% 7.0% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.2% 9.9% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 60.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1