Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 10:30 •
Mersin Stadyumu
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.62)
1.39 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.8% | 27.5% | 60.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 0
16.0%
0 - 2
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sivasspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hatayspor | 0 | 16.0% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 53% |
| Attack | 15% | 45% |
| Defense | 25% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 47% | 36% | 41% |
| Loses | 71% | 80% | 76% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
Form: Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLL • Sivasspor: LDLLWDWDDDDLWLWLDDWLWDDLDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 10 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 35 | 45 | 80 | 13 | 17 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hatayspor | Sivasspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 100% | 66% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 79% | 24% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 59% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 28% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sivasspor
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home13.00 @ 10Bet
Draw7.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.23 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Hatayspor
vs
Sivasspor
Expected goals
0.45
Hatayspor xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
1.83
1.39
Sivasspor xG
League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
11.8%
Draw
27.5%
Away
60.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
22.2%
Tip
0 - 0
16.0%
Tip
0 - 2
15.4%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Hatayspor = 0.45 (league 1.62), Sivasspor = 1.39 (league 1.26)
| Sivasspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hatayspor | 0 | 16.0% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 60.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1