Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 19:45 •
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.53)
3.05 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 15.4% | 58.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 2
7.2%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Briton Ferry | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff MET | 0 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 45% |
| Defense | 18% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 10% | 43% | 24% |
| Draws | 22% | 56% | 39% | 30% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 44% | 11% | 28% | 60% | 29% | 47% |
Form: Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLWDW • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 71% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 50% | 41% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 28% | 12% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 17% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-2 | 2-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cardiff MET | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Cardiff MET or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 1.56 (league 1.53), Briton Ferry = 3.05 (league 1.38)
| Briton Ferry | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff MET | 0 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 58.7%
vtt 7 , vtd1
