Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 18:45 •
Mill Farm
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.55)
0.95 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 16.5% | 12.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 74% | 65% | 69% | 47% | 39% | 43% |
| Draws | 11% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
| Loses | 16% | 25% | 21% | 32% | 44% | 38% |
Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWWWWWWLDWWWL • Marine: LWWWLLLLDWLWWLDWWDWLDWLLWDWDLWWLLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 49 | 45 | 94 | 33 | 18 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 28 | 27 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Fylde | Marine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 72% | 70% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 26% | 43% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 8% | 14% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 3% | 8% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw6.70 @ Pinnacle
Away9.15 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AFC Fylde
vs
Marine
Expected goals
2.51
AFC Fylde xG
League Avg: 1.55
Total
3.46
0.95
Marine xG
League Avg: 1.27
1x2 probabilities
Home
67.1%
Draw
16.5%
Away
12.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
9.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
3 - 0
8.3%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.48 (league 1.57), Marine = 0.94 (league 1.28)
| Marine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 12.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1