Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 •
Victory Park
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.55)
1.23 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 27.4% | 36.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Kidderminster Harriers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 9.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 21% | 68% |
| Defense | 63% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| Wins | 42% | 22% | 32% | 55% | 44% | 50% |
| Draws | 26% | 28% | 27% | 35% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 32% | 50% | 41% | 10% | 25% | 17% |
Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLLWDL • Kidderminster Harriers: WDDLWWWDDLLDWWDWLDLWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 25 | 58 | 34 | 19 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 24 | 32 | 56 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 89% | 92% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 51% | 33% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 11% | 17% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chorley | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kidderminster Harriers
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Chorley
vs
Kidderminster Harriers
Expected goals
1.20
Chorley xG
League Avg: 1.55
Total
2.43
1.23
Kidderminster Harriers xG
League Avg: 1.27
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.5%
Draw
27.4%
Away
36.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.0%
Tip
0 - 1
10.8%
Tip
1 - 0
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.19 (league 1.57), Kidderminster Harriers = 1.22 (league 1.28)
| Kidderminster Harriers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 9.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 36.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1