Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 09:00 •
Sportplatz Parkweg
Expected Goals
3.31 (league 2.26)
2.77 (league 1.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 15.9% | 27.7% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
3 - 3
4.9%
2 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Süderelbe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasel | 0 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 10% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 12 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Draws | 29% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 21% | 50% | 35% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
Form: Sasel: WWLDLWLLWDWWDLWDLLWDWWLWLD • Süderelbe: LWWDLWWLLWWLWLDWWLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 48 | 20 | 68 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 33 | 34 | 67 | 15 | 24 | 39 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sasel | Süderelbe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 88% | 77% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 65% | 59% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 42% | 41% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 38% | 18% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 12% | 18% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sasel | Süderelbe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sasel or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sasel = 3.31 (league 2.26), Süderelbe = 2.77 (league 1.99)
| Süderelbe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasel | 0 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 27.7%
vtt 3 , vtd1
